Wednesday, September 8th 2010

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Danish SAS Ligaen (2004-2005)

The detailed report presented here is aimed to demonstrate IntelliTipster's unique ability to make your sports betting more profitable than you have ever dreamed of!


Imagine starting your season with 100 units in the bank and having more than 395 units when the season ends. Our real life example below shows that this is possible, provided you have selected a wise strategy and adhere to it as you go.


Danish SAS Ligaen 2004-2005 profitability graph

For this case study we have chosen a simple approach, a set of three straightforward rules, which are outlined below:

  • We bet on events for which IntelliTipster has predicted 50% or higher probability, be it home win, draw or away win.


  • Before each betting day, we determine 1/10 of the current betting bank. This will be the exact amount we bet on one event during this betting day.


  • No more than two bets are placed each betting day, even if more than two events are predicted with 50% (or higher) probability. In the latter case, two events with the highest probabilities are picked to be bet on.

Of course, IntelliTipster predictions are always made using the latest updated league file, to make the predictions as precise as possible.


The table below summarizes all bets that were placed following our specific strategy over the course of the 2004-2005 season. Each row describes one bet: the date when a match was played is specified, as well as the league name, home and away teams, outcome predicted by IntelliTipster and a bookmaker's odd corresponding to that outcome, resulting match score and the state of our virtual betting bank after the given match ended.


For example, let's take a closer look at the very first row. On August the 8th Herfolge played Aalborg BK and IntelliTipster predicted a home win in this match with the probability of 56%, which is higher than the threshold that we've set in our rules. So a 10 unit bet with the coefficient of 3.16 has been placed, the amount being exactly 1/10 of our initial bank of 100 units. The match indeed ended with a home win, 2:1, so our 10 units become 31.60, and the state of the bank is now 100-10+31.60=121.60 units, which is reflected in the rightmost column of the table. Note also, that the winning bets are marked green, whereas the bets that were lost are marked red.


If you take a look at the bottom of the table, you will notice that following our simple system and employing the power of IntelliTipster yielded in an impressive 295.19% profit at the end of the season. This means that if your initial bank was $100, you would have ended the season with $395.19 in your pocket - thanks to IntelliTipster!


DateLeagueHome teamAway teamPredictionScoreBank
08.08.2004Danish SAS LigaenHerfölgeAalborg BK56% home @ 3.162:1121.60
08.08.2004Danish SAS LigaenOdenseRanders Freja54% home @ 1.335:1124.90
15.08.2004Danish SAS LigaenHerfölgeFarum68% home @ 2.110:2112.41
29.08.2004Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCRanders Freja50% home @ 1.293:1115.67
29.08.2004Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFFarum50% home @ 2.080:1104.43
12.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenAarhus AGFViborg FF70% home @ 1.851:293.99
12.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenFarumEsbjerg FB56% home @ 3.262:1117.59
18.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCSilkeborg IF57% home @ 1.642:1125.11
19.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFRanders Freja60% home @ 1.490:1112.60
19.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenAarhus AGFHerfölge59% home @ 1.682:0121.11
22.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnFarum62% home @ 1.420:0109.00
22.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCViborg FF53% home @ 1.591:196.89
25.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenHerfölgeBröndby Kobenhavn50% home @ 4.161:487.20
26.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenRanders FrejaSilkeborg IF65% home @ 3.074:3105.25
26.09.2004Danish SAS LigaenOdenseAalborg BK55% home @ 1.681:396.53
02.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenFC KobenhavnHerfölge62% home @ 1.382:0100.20
03.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenAalborg BKSilkeborg IF61% home @ 1.761:0107.81
03.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCFarum60% home @ 1.661:197.79
16.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnOdense64% home @ 1.692:1104.54
17.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFMidtjylland FC74% home @ 2.512:1120.32
17.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenHerfölgeRanders Freja57% home @ 1.913:2129.84
24.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenAalborg BKHerfölge52% home @ 1.573:0137.24
24.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCFarum52% home @ 1.632:0145.42
31.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFOdense60% home @ 2.441:0166.36
31.10.2004Danish SAS LigaenAalborg BKRanders Freja55% home @ 1.381:1151.82
03.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenFarumRanders Freja57% home @ 1.692:2136.64
03.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenAarhus AGFAalborg BK56% home @ 2.202:1154.85
06.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnViborg FF50% home @ 1.571:0163.68
07.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenOdenseFarum52% home @ 1.497:1171.70
13.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFSilkeborg IF61% home @ 1.731:1154.53
13.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenAalborg BKMidtjylland FC60% home @ 2.252:1175.99
14.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenFarumBröndby Kobenhavn68% away @ 1.480:1184.44
20.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenOdenseHerfölge62% home @ 1.372:0191.26
20.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCEsbjerg FB54% home @ 1.994:3209.53
21.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnAarhus AGF54% home @ 1.544:0220.84
28.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCRanders Freja62% home @ 1.462:1231.00
28.11.2004Danish SAS LigaenHerfölgeBröndby Kobenhavn62% away @ 1.461:2241.16
13.03.2005Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnAalborg BK64% home @ 1.591:1217.04
13.03.2005Danish SAS LigaenOdenseEsbjerg FB60% home @ 2.070:1192.92
20.03.2005Danish SAS LigaenFC KobenhavnRanders Freja66% home @ 1.234:0197.36
20.03.2005Danish SAS LigaenAarhus AGFFarum52% home @ 1.712:1211.06
02.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnMidtjylland FC56% home @ 1.490:1189.95
03.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenRanders FrejaAarhus AGF52% home @ 3.521:0237.82
06.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenSilkeborg IFHerfölge61% home @ 1.753:0255.66
09.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCSilkeborg IF54% home @ 1.680:0230.09
10.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenFC KobenhavnBröndby Kobenhavn60% home @ 2.213:0257.93
10.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenRanders FrejaOdense60% home @ 3.931:1234.93
16.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFBröndby Kobenhavn60% home @ 3.150:2211.43
17.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenSilkeborg IFRanders Freja56% home @ 1.722:2190.29
23.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenFC KobenhavnFarum64% home @ 1.302:0196.00
24.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenEsbjerg FBHerfölge70% home @ 1.355:1202.86
24.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCAarhus AGF66% home @ 1.900:1183.26
30.04.2005Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnRanders Freja64% home @ 1.242:0187.66
01.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenSilkeborg IFOdense54% home @ 2.424:2214.30
01.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFFC Kobenhavn50% away @ 1.930:2231.76
07.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenAalborg BKAarhus AGF52% home @ 1.803:1250.30
08.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenFC KobenhavnSilkeborg IF60% home @ 1.370:1225.27
08.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenEsbjerg FBFarum56% home @ 1.453:1236.53
15.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenSilkeborg IFMidtjylland FC60% home @ 2.210:1212.88
16.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnFC Kobenhavn56% home @ 2.365:0241.83
16.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenAarhus AGFHerfölge50% home @ 1.842:1259.71
19.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenAarhus AGFRanders Freja68% home @ 1.754:0279.19
19.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenEsbjerg FBSilkeborg IF62% home @ 1.674:0296.59
22.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFHerfölge52% home @ 1.572:1313.49
22.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenRanders FrejaFC Kobenhavn50% home @ 4.710:1283.84
29.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenMidtjylland FCFC Kobenhavn60% home @ 2.691:0331.80
29.05.2005Danish SAS LigaenEsbjerg FBOdense54% home @ 1.963:2359.05
11.06.2005Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnHerfölge66% home @ 1.197:0365.87
12.06.2005Danish SAS LigaenFC KobenhavnEsbjerg FB54% home @ 1.861:0397.34
12.06.2005Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFFarum54% home @ 1.861:2360.75
15.06.2005Danish SAS LigaenViborg FFRanders Freja66% home @ 1.462:1377.35
15.06.2005Danish SAS LigaenFarumSilkeborg IF54% home @ 2.062:3341.27
19.06.2005Danish SAS LigaenBröndby KobenhavnFarum78% home @ 1.282:0350.83
19.06.2005Danish SAS LigaenSilkeborg IFViborg FF60% home @ 2.303:2395.19
       
In this particular case, your pure profit for the period from 08.08.2004 to 19.06.2005 would have been 295.19%!

Naturally, not every season and not every league will be equally profitable for a punter. Therefore it is very important to select a reasonable betting system and strictly adhere to it, as well as to the responsible gambling principles. But no matter what kind of betting system you use, IntelliTipster will be there for you, helping to make your picks and win!


So why don't you try IntelliTipster for free? A 30-day evaluation version is always available for download, as well as a lot of league files for different sports. Do not hesitate to enjoy the benefits of IntelliTipster!

 
 
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